A summary of our work on short-term COVID-19 forecasting appeared as a voxeu.Our short-term COVID-19 forecasting paper is now available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06.See our blog entry at the International Institute of Forecasters.We now have more than two months of regular short-term COVID-19 forecasts.We now have more than three months of regular short-term COVID-19 forecasts.Short-term COVID-19 forecasts are regularly updated.Research presentation on short-term COVID-19 forecasting on 26 June at the Quarterly Forecasting Forum of the IIF UK Chapter.Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve Just appeared at The Conversation.This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and will be streamed here. Thursday 2 July we'll be in São Paolo for a webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics.The data is available from including all tests (pillar one and two). Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England.Can we get accurate short-term forecasts of coronavirus cases and deaths? Appeared at Economics Observatory.Short-term COVID-19 forecasts (confirmed cases and deaths), England (confirmed cases), and Latin American countries (confirmed cases and deaths) are still regularly updated.Modelling non-stationary 'Big Data' (with Jennie Castle and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting.
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